NHL · resolved market
AHL: Grand Rapids Griffins vs. Charlotte Checkers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf620445ebc25dcbc1f62f5a79737c038e8b284dc48bb27ae50710c9a487fe9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grand Rapids Griffinsof Grand Rapids Griffins, Charlotte Checkers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Charlotte Checkers | 50c | 5,134$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.78 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 50c | 1,025$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 51c | 797$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.1 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 50c | 517.1$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.22 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 50c | 460$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Charlotte Checkers | 55c | 241$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.34 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 51c | 175$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Charlotte Checkers | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 42c | 46.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.