TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Brasov: Ilia Simakin vs Dimitar Kuzmanov

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dimitar Kuzmanovof Ilia Simakin, Dimitar Kuzmanov
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,164
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,344

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,164 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8da0…6b21backed Ilia Simakin7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-54.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Ilia Simakin77c888.55$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.724,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Dimitar Kuzmanov39c721.5$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.222,32652.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L+85.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Dimitar Kuzmanov41c550.98$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.871,96043.8%858 W · 1,102 L-20.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf81a…5d86backed Ilia Simakin44c475.84$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.511225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Ilia Simakin45c421.15$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.184,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Ilia Simakin61c412.1$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.382,77653.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L+69.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Dimitar Kuzmanov15c328.5$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.233,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Dimitar Kuzmanov63c267.87$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.619,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Dimitar Kuzmanov39c255.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.251,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Ilia Simakin43c245$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.349,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Ilia Simakin17c213$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.692,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Ilia Simakin52c193.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.813,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xccf6…b29fbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov57c189.71$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.629448.9%46 W · 48 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Dimitar Kuzmanov46c187.13$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.133,26240.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc110…9a30backed Dimitar Kuzmanov35c183.5$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0812846.1%59 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dimitar Kuzmanov47c160.01$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.138,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Ilia Simakin35c131$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.851,10252.2%575 W · 527 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f4…6794backed Dimitar Kuzmanov39c130.88$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.337853.7%203 W · 175 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd13e…ed01backed Dimitar Kuzmanov68c98.5$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4634854.3%189 W · 159 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Ilia Simakin41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.931,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Dimitar Kuzmanov43c93.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.482,17937%807 W · 1,372 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Ilia Simakin21c92.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.473,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Ilia Simakin58c89.4$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.296,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed Dimitar Kuzmanov59c85.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0335457.3%203 W · 151 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Ilia Simakin21c74.64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.671,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Ilia Simakin69c72.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027437.2%102 W · 172 L-21.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Ilia Simakin44c69.69$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.661,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bb…c8d4backed Ilia Simakin70c69.43$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Ilia Simakin61c64.72$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.484,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Dimitar Kuzmanov42c60.58$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8511,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov40c54.86$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0649943.5%217 W · 282 L+2.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov41c48.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2174646.1%344 W · 402 L-30.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Ilia Simakin42c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5324846%114 W · 134 L-14.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov63c46.22$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.291,77252.1%923 W · 849 L-1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Dimitar Kuzmanov63c44.21$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.142,06946.7%966 W · 1,103 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Ilia Simakin56c40.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8846658.6%273 W · 193 L+24.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov69c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.562,08952.2%1,090 W · 999 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.492352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov69c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.561,17952.8%623 W · 556 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ilia Simakin51c34.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.856,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2022…37d9backed Dimitar Kuzmanov38c34.29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.267835.9%28 W · 50 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Dimitar Kuzmanov36c30.13$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.282,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Dimitar Kuzmanov52c29.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.338,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Dimitar Kuzmanov39c29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.735329.7%105 W · 248 L-34.8wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-33.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe1ab…faadbacked Ilia Simakin72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012658.7%74 W · 52 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Dimitar Kuzmanov66c26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.921,73052.2%903 W · 827 L-8.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x978f…e14dbacked Ilia Simakin61c24.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9920841.8%87 W · 121 L-26.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Ilia Simakin52c24.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6680051%408 W · 392 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Ilia Simakin58c20.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Ilia Simakin54c19.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.733656.8%191 W · 145 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37a6…6684backed Dimitar Kuzmanov56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.929564.2%61 W · 34 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.