Euroleague · resolved market
Joventut vs. Valencia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafe29d6a35acecee326759fdda04026817c8e573dd5a9076b9e56e2bbc6abdfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joventutof Joventut, Valencia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Joventut | 42c | 4,336$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.64 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Valencia | 65c | 2,196$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.74 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Joventut | 34c | 1,500$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.98 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Valencia | 66c | 1,448$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.87 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Valencia | 76c | 1,315$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Valencia | 61c | 860.59$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.23 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed Valencia | 69c | 802.54$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Joventut | 32c | 605.39$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.22 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…ea8bbacked Joventut | 10c | 500$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +861.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b8…51cfbacked Joventut | 13c | 275.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 13cpaid | +429%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed Joventut | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a78…1e03backed Joventut | 35c | 163.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Valencia | 57c | 159.46$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Valencia | 65c | 153.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Joventut | 32c | 142$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.13 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Joventut | 32c | 127.15$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Valencia | 41c | 121.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Joventut | 35c | 119$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Joventut | 41c | 91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…37dabacked Valencia | 71c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Valencia | 59c | 62.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Joventut | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Joventut | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Valencia | 65c | 51.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 57cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc00c…ddc2backed Valencia | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Valencia | 66c | 21.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Valencia | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.