CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Lavked - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaff886146b46641ba7ca8e31dc0e5030810a86fe4644f6b5f6d6f50afbe456aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1WINof 1WIN, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked 1WIN | 55c | 4,500$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked | 44c | 3,353$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.51 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked 1WIN | 63c | 2,850$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.94 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lavked | 39c | 1,072$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.91 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lavked | 40c | 1,000$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.75 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked 1WIN | 66c | 980.9$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.54 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0487…33bdbacked 1WIN | 48c | 831.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f7…9a03backed 1WIN | 73c | 623.54$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.81 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Lavked | 39c | 492.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.28 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Lavked | 40c | 419.24$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.61 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Lavked | 33c | 408.32$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.9 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Lavked | 36c | 385.37$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.49 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Lavked | 37c | 342.46$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.21 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed 1WIN | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Lavked | 49c | 324.33$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.01 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Lavked | 26c | 304$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.79 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lavked | 42c | 273.11$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.07 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1WIN | 75c | 261.98$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Lavked | 27c | 234.7$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Lavked | 46c | 217.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lavked | 30c | 163$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Lavked | 49c | 135.89$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked 1WIN | 50c | 114.4$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 1WIN | 75c | 110.92$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Lavked | 19c | 109.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lavked | 13c | 102$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lavked | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lavked | 13c | 96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lavked | 28c | 88.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Lavked | 43c | 70.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lavked | 36c | 69.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3b…531fbacked 1WIN | 76c | 65.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed Lavked | 42c | 59.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked 1WIN | 67c | 59.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked 1WIN | 62c | 53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed 1WIN | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0daa…6be6backed Lavked | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…d6d0backed 1WIN | 75c | 44.07$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed 1WIN | 50c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Lavked | 55c | 36.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 1WIN | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 1WIN | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed 1WIN | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Lavked - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs1WIN won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Lavked - Map 2 WinnerLavked won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Lavked (+1.5)Lavked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.