Fifa International · resolved market
Côte d'Ivoire to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb03239869302046ace6cf78314e6f5c4fb8ef47f96e5627c675b972c4af811e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked No | 29c | 1,370$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.32 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 29c | 970.25$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.18 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 71c | 882.78$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.71 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 70c | 783.02$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.7 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 32c | 779.58$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.47 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…ee54backed Yes | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5619…d1f6backed Yes | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -7.6wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 70c | 460.52$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.61 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed No | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 69c | 302.58$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.8 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 31c | 247.87$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf927…94b5backed Yes | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 71c | 170.08$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 8c | 151.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 13c | 139.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 24c | 70.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf22…87dbbacked Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e14…9056backed Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…5d6abacked Yes | 65c | 42.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8f…6e47backed Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd54e…2e45backed Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d6cabacked Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 230 | 62.6%144 W · 86 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…2737backed Yes | 73c | 13.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Côte d'Ivoire to win the second half?this page
- Curaçao to win the second half?No won
- Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.