CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs MIBR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb046ec8199ca2fdff5de497ebc36c079e9ee57fd233f1b9fa12839a94a9f00b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof Galorys, MIBR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MIBR | 64c | 2,217$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.58 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Galorys | 13c | 1,340$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.2 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Galorys | 26c | 761.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Galorys | 39c | 697$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.7 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Galorys | 6c | 613.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…ac38backed Galorys | 9c | 563$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed MIBR | 60c | 505$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.1 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Galorys | 17c | 388.19$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Galorys | 24c | 377.23$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MIBR | 64c | 358.83$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.35 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Galorys | 22c | 303.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked MIBR | 12c | 289$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.32 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…34debacked Galorys | 9c | 221.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Galorys | 40c | 169.96$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Galorys | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Galorys | 70c | 141.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Galorys | 12c | 134.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…9808backed MIBR | 79c | 126.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Galorys | 23c | 117.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…9a6cbacked MIBR | 66c | 112.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Galorys | 23c | 100.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed MIBR | 65c | 98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Galorys | 17c | 97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Galorys | 12c | 90.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MIBR | 68c | 81.56$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed Galorys | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked MIBR | 78c | 70.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Galorys | 20c | 64.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Galorys | 18c | 58.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed MIBR | 52c | 53.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked MIBR | 78c | 51.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MIBR | 75c | 49.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Galorys | 25c | 48.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Galorys | 32c | 41.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked MIBR | 52c | 40.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 216 | 23.6%51 W · 165 L | -27.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd015…ec20backed MIBR | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked MIBR | 60c | 33.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +9.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked MIBR | 39c | 29.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed MIBR | 45c | 23.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MIBR | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked MIBR | 58c | 17.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed MIBR | 77c | 14.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Galorys vs MIBR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Galorys vs MIBR - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
- Counter-Strike: Galorys vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerGalorys won
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Galorys (+1.5)Galorys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.