Tennis · resolved market
Rome: Elizara Yaneva vs Sofya Lansere
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb07c362b64ce0863fdc1a2b4bd70a7e898469c20106eb9a20afa6ec185585d73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elizara Yanevaof Elizara Yaneva, Sofya Lansere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Sofya Lansere | 9c | 14,897$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.34 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sofya Lansere | 8c | 9,477$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.16 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sofya Lansere | 2c | 4,897$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Sofya Lansere | 23c | 2,000$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.99 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sofya Lansere | 6c | 1,999$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.22 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sofya Lansere | 3c | 1,058$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…cffdbacked Sofya Lansere | 9c | 999.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Sofya Lansere | 21c | 871.63$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.33 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Sofya Lansere | 13c | 722.14$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.37 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Sofya Lansere | 8c | 674.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Sofya Lansere | 19c | 330.2$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Sofya Lansere | 8c | 324.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sofya Lansere | 18c | 276.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sofya Lansere | 6c | 202.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Sofya Lansere | 21c | 191.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sofya Lansere | 18c | 132.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Sofya Lansere | 15c | 126.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 302 | 35.1%106 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Elizara Yaneva | 80c | 98.04$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Sofya Lansere | 19c | 97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Elizara Yaneva | 79c | 87.4$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sofya Lansere | 19c | 57.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Sofya Lansere | 19c | 57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sofya Lansere | 23c | 53.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Elizara Yaneva | 79c | 52.15$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Elizara Yaneva | 80c | 51.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Elizara Yaneva | 77c | 46.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Elizara Yaneva | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Elizara Yaneva | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Elizara Yaneva | 79c | 29.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Elizara Yaneva | 78c | 25.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Elizara Yaneva | 77c | 23.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Elizara Yaneva | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Elizara Yaneva | 79c | 19.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.