CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs RoundsGG - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb09a03d8c78ee56ed28d7cf6e6125902553b05c068d6825a674190072abe804a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, RoundsGG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked RoundsGG | 2c | 1,010$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed RoundsGG | 15c | 616.69$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.23 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Misa Esports | 79c | 515.06$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.92 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked RoundsGG | 19c | 426$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.94 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed RoundsGG | 19c | 360$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Misa Esports | 78c | 278$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Misa Esports | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Misa Esports | 77c | 217.57$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Misa Esports | 66c | 198.29$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Misa Esports | 73c | 164.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked RoundsGG | 23c | 154.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked RoundsGG | 25c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked RoundsGG | 32c | 124.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked RoundsGG | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked RoundsGG | 10c | 110.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed RoundsGG | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked RoundsGG | 26c | 86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed RoundsGG | 22c | 57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed RoundsGG | 23c | 55.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked RoundsGG | 21c | 49.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed RoundsGG | 22c | 49.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Misa Esports | 69c | 41.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Misa Esports | 56c | 22.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Misa Esports | 64c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs RoundsGG - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs RoundsGG (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group DMisa Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs RoundsGG - Map 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.