CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs RoundsGG (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dec0e7486312f712dfc2b4fe5c91a772e845ef4f4e408f38aa39122c13c1a5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, RoundsGG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed RoundsGG | 9c | 785.36$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.54 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed RoundsGG | 10c | 600.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked Misa Esports | 75c | 531.48$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.87 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed RoundsGG | 25c | 431.37$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.84 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed RoundsGG | 9c | 426.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed RoundsGG | 19c | 403$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.18 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked RoundsGG | 23c | 336.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed RoundsGG | 7c | 325$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked RoundsGG | 7c | 321.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed RoundsGG | 8c | 320.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed RoundsGG | 16c | 268.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Misa Esports | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked RoundsGG | 28c | 215$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked RoundsGG | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked RoundsGG | 9c | 156.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked RoundsGG | 10c | 150.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…8e75backed Misa Esports | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Misa Esports | 79c | 118.48$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked RoundsGG | 23c | 109.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Misa Esports | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Misa Esports | 76c | 85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Misa Esports | 79c | 78.09$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Misa Esports | 75c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…0c9abacked RoundsGG | 25c | 59.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked RoundsGG | 19c | 56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd85…1d60backed Misa Esports | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…55c0backed RoundsGG | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked RoundsGG | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…1160backed RoundsGG | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 414 | 37%153 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked RoundsGG | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Misa Esports | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Misa Esports | 76c | 17.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs RoundsGG (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs RoundsGG - Map 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs RoundsGG - Map 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.