Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul 2: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Cagla Buyukakcay
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb10a023b93ac680d97a155d4a34232676451ae2b11beae985dbcfd2e5b9d1e55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Viktoria Hruncakovaof Viktoria Hruncakova, Cagla Buyukakcay
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cagla Buyukakcay | 15c | 10,374$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.25 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cagla Buyukakcay | 13c | 2,227$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.45 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Cagla Buyukakcay | 14c | 996.54$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.6 | 172 | 24.4%42 W · 130 L | -16.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Cagla Buyukakcay | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Cagla Buyukakcay | 18c | 512.4$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.23 | 323 | 33.7%109 W · 214 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Cagla Buyukakcay | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Viktoria Hruncakova | 80c | 459.85$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.11 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cagla Buyukakcay | 7c | 372.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5940…94c8backed Cagla Buyukakcay | 13c | 344.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Viktoria Hruncakova | 77c | 322.68$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.22 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Cagla Buyukakcay | 21c | 260.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cagla Buyukakcay | 18c | 185.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Cagla Buyukakcay | 9c | 174.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Cagla Buyukakcay | 12c | 167.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Cagla Buyukakcay | 10c | 162.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cagla Buyukakcay | 19c | 134.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Cagla Buyukakcay | 19c | 93.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Cagla Buyukakcay | 21c | 90.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Cagla Buyukakcay | 20c | 89.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Cagla Buyukakcay | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Viktoria Hruncakova | 80c | 69.44$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 336 | 50.9%171 W · 165 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Cagla Buyukakcay | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Cagla Buyukakcay | 18c | 62.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Viktoria Hruncakova | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…cb21backed Viktoria Hruncakova | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 135 | 59.3%80 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Viktoria Hruncakova | 79c | 29.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Viktoria Hruncakova | 80c | 21.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Viktoria Hruncakova | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3a…94aabacked Viktoria Hruncakova | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.