Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Erzurumspor FK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb113d139116e64c81c96a150b78608ba942f68cc4002bb28b88889b72f99e09d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 15c | 20,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.96 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 1,691$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.94 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Yes | 15c | 1,451$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 16c | 1,363$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.12 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 78c | 999.93$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.98 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 78c | 878.28$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.22 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…518cbacked Yes | 2c | 814$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Yes | 14c | 803.59$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.34 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 78c | 541.94$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.23 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Yes | 22c | 468.26$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Yes | 22c | 468.23$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 77c | 403.25$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 344.52$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.24 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 22c | 318.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 8c | 250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 77c | 242$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 242$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 77c | 216.27$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 23c | 192.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Yes | 24c | 152.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 80c | 127.57$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…d1a7backed No | 78c | 78.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 22c | 67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 79c | 65.58$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9488backed Yes | 22c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 22c | 64.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 21c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed No | 77c | 46.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 77c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 78c | 27.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 79c | 20.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f1…4d6ebacked No | 77c | 17.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Erzurumspor FK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Erzurumspor FK win on 2026-08-21?No won
- Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.