CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb13582ba49d74a75ffda33e9aadb881425405592d2d3d3afff752f7e13abbc3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Johnny Speedsof G2 Ares, Johnny Speeds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Johnny Speeds | 78c | 1,296$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.66 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed G2 Ares | 30c | 311.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…6529backed G2 Ares | 16c | 310$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed G2 Ares | 15c | 303.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed Johnny Speeds | 66c | 301.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.83 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked G2 Ares | 47c | 300$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c6…d904backed G2 Ares | 50c | 193.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Johnny Speeds | 68c | 183.82$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked G2 Ares | 40c | 168.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Johnny Speeds | 66c | 152.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked G2 Ares | 20c | 151.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…7841backed G2 Ares | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -11.4wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Johnny Speeds | 79c | 106.66$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Johnny Speeds | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed G2 Ares | 45c | 98.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed G2 Ares | 58c | 77.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Johnny Speeds | 55c | 58.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked G2 Ares | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Johnny Speeds | 50c | 52.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Johnny Speeds | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce5…309cbacked G2 Ares | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed G2 Ares | 40c | 49.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Johnny Speeds | 51c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked Johnny Speeds | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ee…0439backed Johnny Speeds | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Johnny Speeds | 53c | 28.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Johnny Speeds | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…fcccbacked G2 Ares | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 204 | 44.1%90 W · 114 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked Johnny Speeds | 60c | 17.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 333 | 62.2%207 W · 126 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…9a02backed G2 Ares | 60c | 17.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I PlayoffsJohnny Speeds won
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.