CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfff87444d0422eb8919075a82d2fffc8654f17efcc2c6535bf3de4c672684606
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Johnny Speedsof G2 Ares, Johnny Speeds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked G2 Ares | 51c | 7,525$3,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,838.34 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Johnny Speeds | 69c | 3,255$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.25 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Johnny Speeds | 45c | 2,708$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.2 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Johnny Speeds | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed G2 Ares | 31c | 1,700$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…2620backed G2 Ares | 55c | 1,473$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.89 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Johnny Speeds | 45c | 1,034$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.73 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Johnny Speeds | 71c | 957.29$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.61 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed G2 Ares | 32c | 914.16$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.35 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Johnny Speeds | 72c | 610.75$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.46 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Johnny Speeds | 72c | 589.45$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.78 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c6…d904backed G2 Ares | 56c | 466.29$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Johnny Speeds | 75c | 418.69$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.26 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked G2 Ares | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed Johnny Speeds | 58c | 342.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.49 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…ebcebacked Johnny Speeds | 44c | 323.16$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed G2 Ares | 56c | 320$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.2 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Johnny Speeds | 47c | 308.38$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.51 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Johnny Speeds | 45c | 277.78$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.78 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed G2 Ares | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Johnny Speeds | 78c | 214$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed G2 Ares | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Johnny Speeds | 75c | 198.5$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Johnny Speeds | 45c | 156$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.47 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked G2 Ares | 29c | 150$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…b09ebacked Johnny Speeds | 79c | 148.1$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed G2 Ares | 15c | 145.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Johnny Speeds | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed G2 Ares | 37c | 134.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 300 | 39.7%119 W · 181 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked G2 Ares | 39c | 121.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…5cd6backed Johnny Speeds | 45c | 119.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.68 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…6cb9backed Johnny Speeds | 45c | 119.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.68 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Johnny Speeds | 59c | 109.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Johnny Speeds | 57c | 105.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Johnny Speeds | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed G2 Ares | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed G2 Ares | 55c | 99.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce5…309cbacked G2 Ares | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Johnny Speeds | 63c | 82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked G2 Ares | 33c | 75.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4038…35e4backed Johnny Speeds | 79c | 71.75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed G2 Ares | 53c | 69.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Johnny Speeds | 57c | 66.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed G2 Ares | 30c | 65.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked G2 Ares | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 216 | 23.6%51 W · 165 L | -27.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed G2 Ares | 32c | 59.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Johnny Speeds | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…2162backed Johnny Speeds | 61c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Johnny Speeds | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Johnny Speeds | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed G2 Ares | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Johnny Speeds | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Johnny Speeds | 78c | 38.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Johnny Speeds | 48c | 38.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Johnny Speeds | 78c | 37.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Johnny Speeds | 61c | 36.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed G2 Ares | 55c | 35.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Johnny Speeds | 64c | 35.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…3acdbacked G2 Ares | 42c | 34.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25dd…0034backed G2 Ares | 52c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed Johnny Speeds | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked G2 Ares | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ee…0439backed Johnny Speeds | 45c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…4bc1backed Johnny Speeds | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked Johnny Speeds | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 333 | 62.2%207 W · 126 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked G2 Ares | 56c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I PlayoffsJohnny Speeds won
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.