NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb13c955d17d3eabfce98e7264a667f333b3165458b51e1d9abd38ac5eac78609
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 9,644$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.11 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738d…4df6backed Trail Blazers | 0c | 9,174$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Trail Blazers | 7c | 2,620$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.4 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers | 17c | 2,300$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Trail Blazers | 27c | 1,755$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.09 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 1,121$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.4 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 1,030$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.9 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe51…3982backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 999.95$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -8.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9f32…8463backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 997.9$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.38 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Trail Blazers | 8c | 864.24$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.31 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 781.25$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…f930backed Trail Blazers | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Trail Blazers | 9c | 510$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Thunder | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 289.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f8…5660backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 263.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 249.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Trail Blazers | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb129…e61abacked Trail Blazers | 16c | 188.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…3996backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…8d23backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 141.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Trail Blazers | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 99.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Trail Blazers | 12c | 99.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Thunder | 80c | 84.83$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…3216backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb1…f7eebacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbd…5d02backed Trail Blazers | 18c | 60.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0615…5c47backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 138 | 23.2%32 W · 106 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.