Asian League · resolved market
NEOM SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb13ef868b4d48dbff03aacc9c9e5b479fbe264e452d742b6e99f1fa94ed1fae8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 22c | 1,842$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 15c | 799.32$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.36 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 23c | 328.21$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.21 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 24c | 299.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.46 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…1938backed Under | 75c | 280.68$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 78c | 220.67$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 20c | 203.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 78c | 193.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Under | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 77c | 130.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed5…472bbacked Under | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…f2d6backed Under | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Under | 78c | 27.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 79c | 20.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEOM SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- NEOM SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)NEOM SC won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-2.5)NEOM SC won
- Spread: NEOM SC (-2.5)Al Shabab Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.