Asian League · resolved market
NEOM SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x816e578ebbbaa948ccaf157b58e67a29d1da51714daef3902a57c371731ba87c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 53c | 2,828$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.73 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 63c | 2,510$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.78 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 28c | 2,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 2,047$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.79 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Over | 42c | 459.83$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac8…7d97backed Under | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 40c | 332.66$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.72 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 78c | 311.26$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 32c | 310.56$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.33 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 71c | 305.81$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.11 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 25c | 299.2$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 53c | 257$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.21 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 60c | 251.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.41 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 49c | 240$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 232.93$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 44c | 196.19$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.33 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 37c | 188.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 64c | 185$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +10.9wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 71c | 179.01$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 42c | 162.57$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 65c | 152.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 48c | 125.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -75%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 44c | 97.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 52c | 94.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…48f2backed Over | 53c | 92.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 23c | 85.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe875…8492backed Under | 49c | 81.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed5…472bbacked Under | 69c | 72.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 43c | 67.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 29.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92e…fcbdbacked Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 80c | 20.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e9…c4a3backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEOM SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- NEOM SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)NEOM SC won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-2.5)NEOM SC won
- Spread: NEOM SC (-2.5)Al Shabab Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.