Asian League · resolved market
NEOM SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c489c34c5e805a6a14b60205f4e29ef4673cafaafde1f4c61f96b7d7f84b548
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 72c | 2,590$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.32 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 18c | 1,971$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 39c | 1,626$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.04 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…095ebacked Over | 53c | 1,582$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 37c | 1,400$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.72 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 71c | 486.19$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 29c | 428.56$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.58 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 27c | 377.82$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.75 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…6a56backed Under | 41c | 357.41$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 181.9$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 57c | 177.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.98 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 27c | 176.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…48f2backed Over | 69c | 143.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 47c | 118.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 40c | 94.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 40c | 86.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Over | 63c | 79.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…c5edbacked Over | 63c | 76.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 78c | 76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…0324backed Over | 63c | 71.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 57c | 53.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 80c | 52.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 41c | 51.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 47.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 78c | 34.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…58eabacked Over | 68c | 28.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 57c | 26.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Over | 75c | 24.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Over | 62c | 24.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 61c | 21.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 75 | 74.7%56 W · 19 L | +13.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Over | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEOM SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- NEOM SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)NEOM SC won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-2.5)NEOM SC won
- Spread: NEOM SC (-2.5)Al Shabab Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.