Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Otakar Esports vs FALKE ESPORTS (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb169bd3a63125a12504975e6fa7edeb180c72a28cc90b9e06e7eac85b7028bee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Otakar Esportsof Otakar Esports, FALKE ESPORTS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Otakar Esports | 70c | 1,246$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.11 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Otakar Esports | 58c | 594.32$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.46 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Otakar Esports | 41c | 561.05$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.02 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed FALKE ESPORTS | 59c | 479.93$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.53 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FALKE ESPORTS | 28c | 362.82$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.71 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed FALKE ESPORTS | 25c | 303.64$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed FALKE ESPORTS | 36c | 294.24$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.86 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Otakar Esports | 61c | 274.03$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.62 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 30c | 256.23$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.67 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked FALKE ESPORTS | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…dfb9backed FALKE ESPORTS | 36c | 211.55$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed FALKE ESPORTS | 12c | 192.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Otakar Esports | 60c | 168.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.81 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…b1d7backed FALKE ESPORTS | 37c | 143.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Otakar Esports | 42c | 128.36$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.61 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed FALKE ESPORTS | 58c | 116.34$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Otakar Esports | 50c | 116.23$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.43 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Otakar Esports | 62c | 110.9$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed FALKE ESPORTS | 58c | 95.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 33c | 94.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…2ba5backed FALKE ESPORTS | 59c | 59.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -7.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Otakar Esports | 42c | 57.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed FALKE ESPORTS | 20c | 54.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FALKE ESPORTS | 37c | 52.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Otakar Esports | 56c | 45.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Otakar Esports | 51c | 43.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Otakar Esports | 69c | 40.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 44c | 37.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 47c | 35.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Otakar Esports | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeadf…6a50backed FALKE ESPORTS | 58c | 32.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed FALKE ESPORTS | 58c | 32.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed FALKE ESPORTS | 59c | 32.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed FALKE ESPORTS | 36c | 31.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79b4…e49bbacked Otakar Esports | 43c | 31.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked FALKE ESPORTS | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…1cb0backed FALKE ESPORTS | 59c | 29.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Otakar Esports | 74c | 20.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 59c | 19.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Otakar Esports | 80c | 19.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Otakar Esports vs FALKE ESPORTS (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Otakar Esports vs FALKE ESPORTS - Map 1 WinnerOtakar Esports won
- Valorant: Otakar Esports vs FALKE ESPORTS - Map 2 WinnerOtakar Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.