Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Viktoriya Tomova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb19c97b1337505c9b6ae62d8090abe0d431485b73cf9c4a4937f4beb26211e81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tomovaof Hruncakova, Tomova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Hruncakova | 25c | 1,301$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.55 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tomova | 76c | 1,094$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.69 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hruncakova | 11c | 970.83$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Tomova | 67c | 218.49$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Hruncakova | 37c | 181.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Hruncakova | 23c | 177.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Hruncakova | 10c | 147.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Hruncakova | 52c | 108$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Tomova | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…2260backed Tomova | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Hruncakova | 18c | 73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Hruncakova | 29c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Tomova | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…6a3abacked Hruncakova | 36c | 54.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Tomova | 61c | 54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668f…54f6backed Tomova | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Hruncakova | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64f8…8cadbacked Tomova | 63c | 39.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…035bbacked Tomova | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 101 | 86.1%87 W · 14 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Viktoriya Tomovathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Hruncakova vs TomovaTomova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.