TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ursaof GenOne, Ursa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,532
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,532 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Ursa58c2,942$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.4884454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked Ursa55c2,348$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.5375056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Ursa59c1,515$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.3584958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed GenOne45c1,386$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.4220743%89 W · 118 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked GenOne40c1,205$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.841,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed GenOne23c1,178$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.536,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1234…c1bbbacked GenOne41c1,131$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.924721.3%10 W · 37 L-8.1wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-44.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Ursa72c1,106$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.6149646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43ff…a491backed Ursa55c994.73$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.539554.7%52 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed GenOne41c980$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.812426.6%33 W · 91 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Ursa57c968.28$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.054,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Ursa60c903.74$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.9320856.3%117 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed GenOne6c833.81$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0238131%118 W · 263 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x077f…b971backed GenOne42c692.05$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.751428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc006…3c94backed GenOne46c671.05$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.585738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Ursa60c655.02$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.0136253.3%193 W · 169 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked GenOne40c599.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24023653.8%127 W · 109 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed GenOne45c599.81$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.7523851.7%123 W · 115 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9b…3de2backed GenOne41c537.28$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.298842%37 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f6d…71b4backed GenOne36c534.22$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.323354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked GenOne39c476.01$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.136243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd507…a6ddbacked GenOne45c453.87$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2045843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed GenOne40c448.09$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.795,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ursa56c447.57$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.151,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa960…9407backed Ursa61c444.64$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.419554.7%52 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Ursa58c436.09$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.6964854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed GenOne32c418.87$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.441,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed GenOne20c406.37$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.362,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd3d1…f540backed Ursa59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16417849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed GenOne47c335.97$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.91729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked GenOne46c332.17$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.818550.8%94 W · 91 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab8d…6fe9backed GenOne41c320.73$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.593046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed GenOne42c286.66$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.411252.7%59 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df7…6e8bbacked Ursa77c260$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+50.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Ursa59c248.46$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1618454.3%100 W · 84 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GenOne28c243.27$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.265,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked GenOne42c242.45$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8311646.6%54 W · 62 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked GenOne15c241.65$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9340635.7%145 W · 261 L-33.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked GenOne20c225.49$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.597,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x140c…6ddfbacked GenOne20c212.44$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed GenOne42c210.33$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8633237%123 W · 209 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bb6…ba42backed GenOne23c203.53$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.711770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cea…2d58backed Ursa78c198.28$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.623855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked GenOne45c198.24$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2154348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed GenOne45c198.22$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0133044.5%147 W · 183 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Ursa69c195.82$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.43164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x564f…8d93backed Ursa73c191.28$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Ursa60c175.36$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.440247.8%192 W · 210 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked GenOne15c174.36$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.152,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Ursa60c170$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd831…30c1backed GenOne40c168.7$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.481060%6 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+94.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Ursa78c154.84$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.622,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Ursa58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6354032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Ursa69c147.3$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4633060.9%201 W · 129 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked GenOne34c147.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.451,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Ursa60c145.72$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2933352.6%175 W · 158 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1298…97b6backed Ursa56c142.24$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.593043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a8…c071backed GenOne40c134.96$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.982445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+35.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed GenOne17c128.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9369732%223 W · 474 L-46.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Ursa56c127.54$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1219849%97 W · 101 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed GenOne39c122.56$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.423245.3%105 W · 127 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1f1…3fd9backed GenOne40c120.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked GenOne43c119.28$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7191648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed GenOne24c118.92$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.312,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x6722…865fbacked GenOne42c114.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2627754.9%152 W · 125 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2606…ba10backed Ursa60c114.46$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.783956.4%22 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked GenOne40c109.9$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.967940.5%32 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed GenOne19c100.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0314151.8%73 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked GenOne43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439137.4%34 W · 57 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa74a…fbc2backed GenOne42c98.82$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.51931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7489…7c83backed GenOne47c96.82$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.512842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Ursa75c94.64$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6610753.3%57 W · 50 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d5…7c98backed GenOne43c85.96$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.962653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed GenOne44c82.32$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2238739.5%153 W · 234 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc10…311fbacked GenOne18c79.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb4…9ed0backed Ursa78c76.06$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.861968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed GenOne24c75.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.185,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x81ed…6879backed Ursa56c69.02$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.371770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+49.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Ursa60c68.86$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5419653.1%104 W · 92 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Ursa56c66.53$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.412,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed Ursa61c65.39$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.54555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked Ursa77c64.28$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9812746.5%59 W · 68 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37d7…f131backed GenOne41c63.61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0733451.5%172 W · 162 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Ursa60c63.43$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3732344.3%143 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked GenOne40c60.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.11,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked GenOne40c60.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.13246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0d…bea7backed Ursa78c59.2$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed GenOne18c58.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.469655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed GenOne34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.877146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed GenOne40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7dba…368dbacked Ursa76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e5a…9ef7backed GenOne40c48.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.286939.1%27 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed GenOne40c47.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.153844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed GenOne39c47.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5524850.4%125 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2068backed Ursa56c44.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.651952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed GenOne44c43.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.334856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1e…522fbacked GenOne42c42.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.064042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd12…9debbacked Ursa60c40.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.011560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f788backed GenOne41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.416338.7%63 W · 100 L-13.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked GenOne49c39.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.638753.2%206 W · 181 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.