CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb59924b9c8ad85d2213cb506f9155682d54644eb33bd4b8ebe3fd8e56cd71710
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ursaof GenOne, Ursa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked GenOne | 8c | 2,191$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.83 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed GenOne | 42c | 2,011$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.53 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Ursa | 46c | 1,372$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.5 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ursa | 47c | 641.42$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.95 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed GenOne | 54c | 628.72$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.48 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked GenOne | 19c | 470.62$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.92 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Ursa | 52c | 455.23$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.51 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed GenOne | 58c | 393.01$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.12 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ursa | 57c | 388.25$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.88 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked GenOne | 15c | 385.17$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Ursa | 50c | 378.28$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.09 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed GenOne | 20c | 337.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 134 | 36.6%49 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ursa | 75c | 324.76$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.15 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed GenOne | 13c | 305.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed GenOne | 55c | 260$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.7 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed GenOne | 17c | 227.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked GenOne | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ursa | 76c | 177.43$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed GenOne | 27c | 161.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Ursa | 76c | 159.21$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked GenOne | 23c | 138.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked GenOne | 18c | 115.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed GenOne | 27c | 102.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed GenOne | 21c | 97.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed GenOne | 17c | 80.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…2359backed Ursa | 78c | 77.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Ursa | 74c | 66.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed GenOne | 17c | 60.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed GenOne | 25c | 47.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Ursa | 43c | 40.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked GenOne | 57c | 39.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ursa | 47c | 36.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Ursa | 52c | 19.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 157 | 65%102 W · 55 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 PlayoffsUrsa won
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa - Map 2 WinnerUrsa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.