Tennis · resolved market
Jiangxi Open: Alycia Parks vs Lin Zhu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1e3a8b132a95df99bc7cab9f24d01694e999dd138730a61cee0a11a7d772cde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Parksof Parks, Zhu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zhu | 0c | 14,215$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zhu | 66c | 2,901$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.56 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Parks | 38c | 2,753$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.91 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Zhu | 66c | 1,263$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.29 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Parks | 30c | 1,207$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.88 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Parks | 57c | 1,035$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.82 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…232fbacked Zhu | 52c | 1,026$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.65 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Parks | 65c | 915.35$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.37 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Parks | 33c | 865.8$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.82 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Zhu | 71c | 704.31$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 311 | 46%143 W · 168 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Parks | 28c | 696.82$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.82 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dd…67c8backed Parks | 31c | 599.9$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443f…87ffbacked Zhu | 65c | 599.79$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd054…11aebacked Parks | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Parks | 32c | 528.87$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.63 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +119%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Parks | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Parks | 41c | 461$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.36 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Zhu | 29c | 419.15$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.85 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd891…7341backed Zhu | 69c | 381.49$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.23 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…ab82backed Parks | 34c | 355.38$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.55 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…5888backed Parks | 34c | 352.94$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Zhu | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4782…d21ebacked Zhu | 69c | 289.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Parks | 32c | 218.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.75 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Parks | 66c | 216.44$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0173…efa6backed Zhu | 34c | 215.88$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x457a…5360backed Zhu | 67c | 202.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4de7…9d66backed Parks | 34c | 202.94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Zhu | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d30…2463backed Zhu | 69c | 159.42$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…89babacked Zhu | 55c | 128.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Parks | 34c | 125.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.47 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…622ebacked Zhu | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…1952backed Zhu | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ef…5a04backed Zhu | 69c | 91.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Parks | 49c | 76.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Parks | 52c | 76.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked Zhu | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 229 | 65.9%151 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Zhu | 67c | 59.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x217d…32d2backed Zhu | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Parks | 33c | 51.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Zhu | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Parks | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb798…79efbacked Zhu | 69c | 34.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Zhu | 69c | 33.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb91…f766backed Zhu | 70c | 28.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc256…aba2backed Zhu | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe688…fc52backed Zhu | 71c | 20.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d37…1445backed Zhu | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Zhu | 61c | 17.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.