Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Portland Pilots vs. Washington State Cougars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1f1022c4fd65132a2a8e1ada966053ceeaaa90dc2d3d58e0deec86f76a4cbb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portland Pilotsof Portland Pilots, Washington State Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,207 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6027…4320backed Portland Pilots | 30c | 1,393$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.32 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Washington State Cougars | 45c | 1,283$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.21 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Washington State Cougars | 70c | 999.97$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.98 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Washington State Cougars | 70c | 967.57$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.51 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Portland Pilots | 52c | 769.2$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.81 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Washington State Cougars | 53c | 749.19$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.46 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Portland Pilots | 35c | 723.17$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.2 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Washington State Cougars | 70c | 565$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.5 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Washington State Cougars | 51c | 553.55$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.05 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Portland Pilots | 30c | 370.26$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.36 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Washington State Cougars | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Portland Pilots | 31c | 247.87$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.03 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Portland Pilots | 45c | 231.48$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.93 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Washington State Cougars | 7c | 218.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Washington State Cougars | 39c | 210.59$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Portland Pilots | 30c | 198.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.97 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Washington State Cougars | 8c | 183.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Portland Pilots | 25c | 166.92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.86 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Portland Pilots | 29c | 120.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.43 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Portland Pilots | 29c | 117.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.35 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Portland Pilots | 30c | 100.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f8b4backed Washington State Cougars | 53c | 78.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Portland Pilots | 55c | 73.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Washington State Cougars | 70c | 71.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Portland Pilots | 31c | 61.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Portland Pilots | 33c | 60.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ba…fc31backed Washington State Cougars | 53c | 56.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Portland Pilots | 29c | 45.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…94b0backed Washington State Cougars | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Washington State Cougars | 72c | 41.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Portland Pilots | 29c | 39.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Washington State Cougars | 65c | 39.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington State Cougars | 70c | 35.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…743dbacked Washington State Cougars | 39c | 35.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Portland Pilots | 41c | 32.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portland Pilots vs. Washington State Cougarsthis page
- Portland Pilots vs. Washington State Cougars: O/U 149.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.