Tennis · resolved market
ITF Pergamino: Victoria Bosio vs Daria Egorova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb25fbbcc1b775848b58b942d0c68853fbc6e17413032eba03a7de9f069a9ea44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Victoria Bosioof Victoria Bosio, Daria Egorova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Victoria Bosio | 19c | 1,302$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daria Egorova | 50c | 1,078$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.58 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Victoria Bosio | 13c | 521.36$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.52 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Victoria Bosio | 76c | 506.07$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.46 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Daria Egorova | 59c | 361.13$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.41 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…37cabacked Victoria Bosio | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daria Egorova | 76c | 183.7$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.65 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Victoria Bosio | 24c | 132.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.99 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Victoria Bosio | 24c | 103.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.34 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Daria Egorova | 76c | 84.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Victoria Bosio | 36c | 78.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Daria Egorova | 64c | 78.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Victoria Bosio | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Victoria Bosio | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Victoria Bosio | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Daria Egorova | 79c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Victoria Bosio | 53c | 33.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed Daria Egorova | 55c | 27.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Victoria Bosio | 72c | 26.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116a…a2f2backed Daria Egorova | 79c | 20.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Victoria Bosio | 74c | 20.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed Daria Egorova | 64c | 18.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x163d…7c69backed Daria Egorova | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -32.8wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Victoria Bosio | 62c | 16.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Daria Egorova | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.