Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Iowa State Cyclones
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb276aa28f2b1868d9019f7edb5132b2c0b6b6ec524075ad853d6c4cee99708d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowa State Cyclonesof Oklahoma State Cowboys, Iowa State Cyclones
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 7c | 9,001$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.9 | 105 | 11.4%12 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…e8b8backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 14c | 4,028$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.57 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1a…6258backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 4c | 1,441$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 6c | 1,414$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 6c | 1,200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 11c | 1,111$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.21 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 3c | 690.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 7c | 667.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 13c | 477$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 19c | 462$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.72 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 7c | 378.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 12c | 211.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…1befbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 7c | 210$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 14c | 194$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 11c | 161$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8f…9a78backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 13c | 156.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 12c | 123.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2581…77d6backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 13c | 82.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Iowa State Cyclonesthis page
- Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 164.5Under won
- Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 165.5Under won
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-17.5)Oklahoma State Cowboys won
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-18.5)Oklahoma State Cowboys won
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-19.5)Oklahoma State Cowboys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.