Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Karolina Muchova vs Antonia Ruzic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2cf18d73faaf5a1dc2db1233952f2a019fb20805fdb3435c2c8ca66850ac1fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karolina Muchovaof Karolina Muchova, Antonia Ruzic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,209 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Antonia Ruzic | 16c | 11,335$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.34 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Antonia Ruzic | 19c | 8,919$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…008ebacked Antonia Ruzic | 12c | 8,379$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.84 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked Antonia Ruzic | 0c | 5,151$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Antonia Ruzic | 19c | 4,385$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.44 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Antonia Ruzic | 5c | 2,582$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.1 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cc…b660backed Antonia Ruzic | 6c | 2,000$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…7ad1backed Antonia Ruzic | 13c | 1,851$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.95 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Antonia Ruzic | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Antonia Ruzic | 2c | 1,548$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Antonia Ruzic | 16c | 1,392$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.42 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Antonia Ruzic | 16c | 1,246$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.98 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Antonia Ruzic | 17c | 999.96$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.96 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Karolina Muchova | 76c | 798.48$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.64 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Antonia Ruzic | 17c | 750$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Antonia Ruzic | 16c | 736.12$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.78 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Antonia Ruzic | 15c | 651.8$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8213…8c05backed Antonia Ruzic | 18c | 560.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Antonia Ruzic | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Antonia Ruzic | 17c | 461.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Antonia Ruzic | 17c | 411.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Antonia Ruzic | 11c | 300$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Karolina Muchova | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5c9fbacked Karolina Muchova | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Antonia Ruzic | 12c | 292.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Antonia Ruzic | 16c | 199.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Antonia Ruzic | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Antonia Ruzic | 17c | 151.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 181 | 33.1%60 W · 121 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Antonia Ruzic | 12c | 140$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Antonia Ruzic | 16c | 131.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Antonia Ruzic | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Antonia Ruzic | 11c | 121$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb172…ffa1backed Antonia Ruzic | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 148 | 28.4%42 W · 106 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Antonia Ruzic | 14c | 115.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 249 | 31.3%78 W · 171 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Antonia Ruzic | 15c | 101.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Antonia Ruzic | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Antonia Ruzic | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Karolina Muchova | 80c | 76.25$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Antonia Ruzic | 17c | 62.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Karolina Muchova | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Karolina Muchova vs Antonia Ruzicthis page
- Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Ruzic (+1.5)Muchova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.