Tennis · resolved market
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Antonia Rivera
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2e67e03a98ae27d396fde0aa5e3ba0032270cfc174bbfa1be12d217cc72c3e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Antonia Riveraof Martina Capurro Taborda, Antonia Rivera
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Antonia Rivera | 53c | 3,367$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.96 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 41c | 1,405$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.85 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 67c | 1,194$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 37c | 940.29$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.54 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 32c | 750$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.4 | 197 | 40.6%80 W · 117 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 42c | 637.69$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.7 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Antonia Rivera | 39c | 381.49$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.69 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 61c | 351.8$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.6 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 58c | 351$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.12 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Antonia Rivera | 45c | 328.4$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.12 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Antonia Rivera | 48c | 263.09$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.3 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Antonia Rivera | 36c | 244.44$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.44 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 34c | 242.48$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…43f6backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 42c | 236.32$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.57 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 40c | 211.84$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Antonia Rivera | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Antonia Rivera | 71c | 121.97$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 51c | 100.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Antonia Rivera | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Antonia Rivera | 72c | 79.9$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 51c | 77.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Antonia Rivera | 47c | 66.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Antonia Rivera | 45c | 64.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 38c | 60.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Antonia Rivera | 75c | 53.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Antonia Rivera | 66c | 45.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…ffd3backed Antonia Rivera | 63c | 39.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Antonia Rivera | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 433 | 36.7%159 W · 274 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Antonia Rivera | 35c | 31.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 54c | 31.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 51c | 31.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Antonia Rivera | 75c | 28.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 61c | 27.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Antonia Rivera | 74c | 27.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7396…e4c9backed Antonia Rivera | 57c | 21.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5920…2f2abacked Antonia Rivera | 53c | 20.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 51c | 20.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655b…ec8bbacked Antonia Rivera | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Antonia Riverathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Taborda vs RiveraRivera won
- Taborda vs. Rivera: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.