Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2fcbf6aa2b9a9b6c00b384da5fa4107487a60e22f15751350c2ca90e00ce0f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 43c | 1,522$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.32 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 61c | 1,500$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.72 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 1,409$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.1 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 31c | 1,308$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.35 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed No | 69c | 1,297$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.1 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 69c | 1,111$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.41 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 62c | 1,050$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.99 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 1,028$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.04 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 3c | 895.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 62c | 784.1$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.58 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 57c | 768.43$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.64 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 456.89$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.04 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 58c | 456.83$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.01 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 42c | 330.71$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.9 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 79c | 172.94$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 36c | 163$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 11c | 137.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 33c | 99.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 27c | 81.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Yes | 34c | 79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…4c59backed Yes | 15c | 74.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…defabacked No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 38c | 38.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 42c | 34.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 39c | 30.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 57c | 18.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-05-09?Yes won
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.