Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3502e54dc92ac903abdc4cf5382a407626dbfa6d033b77ecbaf542f2883b4a5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 28c | 3,474$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.62 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 78c | 2,239$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.78 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 67c | 1,569$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.87 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 56c | 973.68$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.85 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 37c | 729.39$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.52 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 37c | 640.14$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.29 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 44c | 605.4$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.06 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 11c | 582.26$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 76c | 343.06$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.97 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 47c | 302.55$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.38 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 42c | 218.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.01 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 42c | 213.05$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.62 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 64c | 180.59$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.58 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4a…1bf2backed No | 48c | 155.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed No | 7c | 151.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 64c | 150.73$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 35c | 150.54$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 67c | 149.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Yes | 69c | 119.08$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 67c | 114.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.03 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 33c | 97.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 35c | 92.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 75c | 90.02$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 43c | 89.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 76c | 82.35$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 64c | 75.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed No | 55c | 57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 64c | 54.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 19c | 54.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 26c | 38.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed No | 63c | 33.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 67c | 25.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 52c | 19.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 62c | 17.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.