Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Omaha Mavericks (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb300187ad0714850f3130ba08797ae6af3cd3ec0ee0455858753d23a19082a87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oral Roberts Golden Eaglesof Omaha Mavericks, Oral Roberts Golden Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.14 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b7…21e1backed Omaha Mavericks | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 57c | 664.26$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.63 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Omaha Mavericks | 43c | 581$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.83 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Omaha Mavericks | 46c | 440.11$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.45 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Omaha Mavericks | 46c | 247.9$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.03 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Omaha Mavericks | 39c | 227.27$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.64 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Omaha Mavericks | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Omaha Mavericks | 46c | 142.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 55c | 132.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Omaha Mavericks | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Omaha Mavericks | 44c | 66.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Omaha Mavericks | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Omaha Mavericks | 37c | 42.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Omaha Mavericks | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Omaha Mavericks | 46c | 38.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Omaha Mavericks | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Omaha Mavericks | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Omaha Mavericks | 46c | 31.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 62c | 25.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Omaha Mavericks | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Omaha Mavericks (-9.5)this page
- Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs. Omaha MavericksOmaha Mavericks won
- Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs. Omaha Mavericks: O/U 150.5Over won
- Spread: Omaha Mavericks (-6.5)Omaha Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.