Tennis · resolved market
ITF Store: Niccolo Baroni vs Davide Tortora
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3221b29f7a93af91b39a72bc4c9232273486abc9eea0243c78764367a996d3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Niccolo Baroniof Niccolo Baroni, Davide Tortora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Davide Tortora | 40c | 1,041$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.92 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Niccolo Baroni | 63c | 925.5$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.3 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Davide Tortora | 44c | 775.42$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.1 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Davide Tortora | 38c | 673.79$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.05 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Davide Tortora | 39c | 599.99$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.93 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Niccolo Baroni | 60c | 498.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.87 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Niccolo Baroni | 58c | 408.92$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.75 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Niccolo Baroni | 56c | 187$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Niccolo Baroni | 71c | 152.53$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Davide Tortora | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Davide Tortora | 41c | 126.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Niccolo Baroni | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Davide Tortora | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Niccolo Baroni | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Davide Tortora | 39c | 90.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Niccolo Baroni | 56c | 81.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Davide Tortora | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Davide Tortora | 27c | 71.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Niccolo Baroni | 73c | 65.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Davide Tortora | 39c | 64.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked Niccolo Baroni | 57c | 63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 214 | 19.6%42 W · 172 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Davide Tortora | 41c | 58.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Niccolo Baroni | 55c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Davide Tortora | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Niccolo Baroni | 58c | 47.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Niccolo Baroni | 59c | 47.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Davide Tortora | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Davide Tortora | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Niccolo Baroni | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Niccolo Baroni | 59c | 35.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Niccolo Baroni | 66c | 35.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Niccolo Baroni | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Niccolo Baroni | 74c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Niccolo Baroni | 74c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed Niccolo Baroni | 77c | 23.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Niccolo Baroni | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Niccolo Baroni | 55c | 18.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…1ed2backed Niccolo Baroni | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.