Tennis · resolved market
ITF Olomouc: Irina Balus vs Eva Marie Voracek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3c1ba3cad8a81cd473abc565e56b8376c02b54995f2f21788ff3a3a7a3b76a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Irina Balusof Irina Balus, Eva Marie Voracek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d14…e4fabacked Eva Marie Voracek | 4c | 10,100$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.59 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Irina Balus | 68c | 5,552$3,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.94 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Eva Marie Voracek | 30c | 5,487$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.29 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Irina Balus | 41c | 602.74$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.74 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Eva Marie Voracek | 34c | 368.95$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.18 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Eva Marie Voracek | 54c | 257.37$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Eva Marie Voracek | 30c | 95.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Irina Balus | 58c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Eva Marie Voracek | 59c | 51.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 627 | 49.4%310 W · 317 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Eva Marie Voracek | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56bc…9103backed Irina Balus | 22c | 46.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Irina Balus | 56c | 41.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Eva Marie Voracek | 43c | 41.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 580 | 45.5%264 W · 316 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Eva Marie Voracek | 27c | 39.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a9…96ecbacked Irina Balus | 54c | 36.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Eva Marie Voracek | 73c | 35.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Eva Marie Voracek | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Irina Balus | 59c | 23.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Eva Marie Voracek | 79c | 21.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Eva Marie Voracek | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Eva Marie Voracek | 65c | 17.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.