Asian League · resolved market
Ulsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb41c9937ad50af4a70fd7e6226b94b2f0640d2b1246a99eb9a14e57858984dbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 49c | 1,545$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.86 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 43c | 794.12$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.74 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under | 57c | 789$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.73 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 51c | 739.43$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.11 | 375 | 52%195 W · 180 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 50c | 370.35$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.18 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Over | 30c | 341.17$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.17 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 70c | 206.17$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.32 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Over | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 70c | 146$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.74 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 44c | 131$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 21c | 128.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 723 | 42%304 W · 419 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 424 | 51.2%217 W · 207 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Under | 57c | 52.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 32c | 51.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 37c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 593 | 42.5%252 W · 341 L | -28.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Under | 57c | 33.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…fe8abacked Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-1.5)Ulsan HD FC won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-2.5)Ulsan HD FC won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)Gangwon FC won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-2.5)Gangwon FC won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC: Ulsan HD FC O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.