Asian League · resolved market
Ulsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56cfbf67e62ab5d52902820d6d4e7eb65d0c360f5ec34c084e8edcc7c4ba0afc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.9 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 1,400$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.13 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 71c | 742.48$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.31 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 61c | 377.25$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.22 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 31c | 343.92$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.85 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 23c | 299.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.98 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 10c | 180$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 71c | 176.69$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.45 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 76c | 166.25$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.32 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c6…4727backed Over | 29c | 163.69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.69 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…4bfbbacked Over | 78c | 136.91$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 52c | 99.28$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Under | 57c | 87.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…7762backed Over | 19c | 85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +240.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 73c | 80.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 72c | 79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 55c | 72.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 57c | 65.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 27c | 64.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 74c | 64.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea88…261abacked Over | 78c | 63.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Under | 69c | 44.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 70c | 42.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Over | 43c | 40.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 55c | 34.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 74c | 34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Under | 74c | 19.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Over | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 54c | 18.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 74c | 17.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 76c | 16.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-1.5)Ulsan HD FC won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-2.5)Ulsan HD FC won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)Gangwon FC won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-2.5)Gangwon FC won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC: Ulsan HD FC O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.