Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Central Arkansas Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb46aac679f38b2b0f898a91b74e73b3b92f421376034c9f907c0d7404ce79385
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Arkansas Bearsof Florida Gulf Coast Eagles, Central Arkansas Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,013 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Central Arkansas Bears | 66c | 4,294$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.78 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 18c | 2,323$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.8 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 34c | 2,030$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.06 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 74c | 1,933$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.83 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 74c | 1,745$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.1 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 31c | 1,216$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.85 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 17c | 585.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 34c | 539.35$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.38 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Central Arkansas Bears | 79c | 518.6$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.91 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Central Arkansas Bears | 78c | 490.97$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.6 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 34c | 439$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.26 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 35c | 426.03$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.81 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 29c | 423.63$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.49 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 36c | 397.71$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.91 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 34c | 295.72$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.54 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Central Arkansas Bears | 66c | 287.86$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.04 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 35c | 285.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.21 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 35c | 258.92$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.62 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Central Arkansas Bears | 66c | 258.55$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 6c | 218.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 26c | 194.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 30c | 188.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 78c | 181.34$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 14c | 158.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Central Arkansas Bears | 76c | 136.81$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 20c | 134.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Central Arkansas Bears | 71c | 125.65$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 14c | 115$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 17c | 105.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 16c | 103.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Central Arkansas Bears | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 69c | 98.69$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 34c | 89.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 34c | 89.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Central Arkansas Bears | 65c | 81.39$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Central Arkansas Bears | 75c | 79.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 70c | 79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 17c | 73.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Central Arkansas Bears | 68c | 72.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 135 | 65.9%89 W · 46 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 18c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…ff12backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 31c | 61.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 23c | 60.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ef10backed Central Arkansas Bears | 69c | 57.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 30c | 57.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 35c | 49.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf602…c172backed Central Arkansas Bears | 65c | 45.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Central Arkansas Bears | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 35c | 28.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Central Arkansas Bears | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…743dbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 75c | 19.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 65c | 17.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Central Arkansas Bearsthis page
- Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Central Arkansas Bears: O/U 145.5Under won
- Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Central Arkansas Bears: O/U 146.5Under won
- Spread: Central Arkansas Bears (-5.5)Central Arkansas Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.