Lol · resolved market
LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Spandau (BO3) - Comedy Central Winter Snowdown Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4875fb7273e54b6e6ac237cc6714cb1676c77bbd33f587259d752182fffb86d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 NORDof G2 NORD, Eintracht Spandau
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Eintracht Spandau | 0c | 8,964$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Eintracht Spandau | 28c | 1,457$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.29 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Eintracht Spandau | 8c | 819.7$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed G2 NORD | 71c | 602$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.6 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed G2 NORD | 73c | 424.19$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.53 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed G2 NORD | 32c | 362.67$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.42 | 299 | 27.8%83 W · 216 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0de1…c735backed Eintracht Spandau | 43c | 231.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed60…8d39backed G2 NORD | 73c | 208.38$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…d4d3backed Eintracht Spandau | 68c | 144.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff00…74d7backed G2 NORD | 71c | 140.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Eintracht Spandau | 30c | 102$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…dcd6backed G2 NORD | 68c | 88.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41eb…8edabacked Eintracht Spandau | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf155…c527backed G2 NORD | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e4…0b1fbacked Eintracht Spandau | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed G2 NORD | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked G2 NORD | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…e83abacked Eintracht Spandau | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked G2 NORD | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed G2 NORD | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 748 | 49.6%371 W · 377 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Spandau (BO3) - Comedy Central Winter Snowdown Playoffsthis page
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 WinnerG2 NORD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.