Tennis · resolved market
ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Rositsa Dencheva vs Luna Vujovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb48a310cb9fe163db80ffd311d89379cf5b0c0accaeae5c63485a5e05a7edf56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luna Vujovicof Rositsa Dencheva, Luna Vujovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Luna Vujovic | 64c | 1,912$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.45 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rositsa Dencheva | 36c | 1,664$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.24 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rositsa Dencheva | 52c | 296.04$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.94 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Luna Vujovic | 35c | 249.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.99 | 253 | 49%124 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Luna Vujovic | 58c | 249.11$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Rositsa Dencheva | 43c | 185$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.14 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0f79backed Rositsa Dencheva | 36c | 170$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Luna Vujovic | 39c | 143.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.13 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Rositsa Dencheva | 23c | 132.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Rositsa Dencheva | 38c | 97.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Luna Vujovic | 36c | 77.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Rositsa Dencheva | 62c | 67.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Luna Vujovic | 71c | 62.55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Rositsa Dencheva | 29c | 58.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…1e9fbacked Luna Vujovic | 39c | 50.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Rositsa Dencheva | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc611…cc2ebacked Rositsa Dencheva | 47c | 47.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b2…5486backed Rositsa Dencheva | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 77%67 W · 20 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Luna Vujovic | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Luna Vujovic | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Rositsa Dencheva | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc40…6ae3backed Rositsa Dencheva | 62c | 24.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Rositsa Dencheva | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed Rositsa Dencheva | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Luna Vujovic | 65c | 19.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.