Tennis · resolved market
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4ac9cf24492f4fc39773684273e216557f42319786339ae82bf59572fbbea89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Polina Iatcenkoof Polina Iatcenko, Sara Milanese
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sara Milanese | 16c | 14,147$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.95 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sara Milanese | 15c | 3,086$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.56 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Polina Iatcenko | 80c | 1,699$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.83 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Sara Milanese | 20c | 1,200$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.68 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sara Milanese | 19c | 775.47$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.53 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sara Milanese | 9c | 609.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…6f6abacked Sara Milanese | 14c | 495.96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Sara Milanese | 22c | 451.13$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Sara Milanese | 19c | 344.46$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Sara Milanese | 19c | 240.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Sara Milanese | 9c | 215.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Sara Milanese | 10c | 141.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Sara Milanese | 9c | 138.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Sara Milanese | 14c | 134.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sara Milanese | 22c | 130$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…f416backed Polina Iatcenko | 77c | 128.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Polina Iatcenko | 77c | 126.95$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Sara Milanese | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Polina Iatcenko | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Sara Milanese | 17c | 110.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Sara Milanese | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Sara Milanese | 18c | 72.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Sara Milanese | 18c | 71.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1,702 | 48.3%822 W · 880 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Polina Iatcenko | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Polina Iatcenko | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Polina Iatcenko | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Polina Iatcenko | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…3394backed Polina Iatcenko | 77c | 17.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 334 | 62.6%209 W · 125 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.