Tennis · resolved market
ITF Vitoria-Gasteiz: Maria Golovina vs Justina Mikulskyte
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4b1e48d2101d6ee31d5f822d27c691165b55fd959f770016b57049eab43389b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Justina Mikulskyteof Maria Golovina, Justina Mikulskyte
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maria Golovina | 52c | 3,639$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.2 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Justina Mikulskyte | 44c | 2,630$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.14 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maria Golovina | 15c | 299.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Justina Mikulskyte | 48c | 229.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Maria Golovina | 35c | 198.56$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Justina Mikulskyte | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 313 | 55.3%173 W · 140 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Justina Mikulskyte | 62c | 189.41$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Justina Mikulskyte | 75c | 170.96$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Maria Golovina | 26c | 170.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 351 | 32.2%113 W · 238 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Justina Mikulskyte | 46c | 133.82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Justina Mikulskyte | 44c | 101.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Justina Mikulskyte | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Justina Mikulskyte | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Maria Golovina | 56c | 96.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Justina Mikulskyte | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Maria Golovina | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Justina Mikulskyte | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Justina Mikulskyte | 54c | 83.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Justina Mikulskyte | 52c | 82.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Maria Golovina | 56c | 77.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Justina Mikulskyte | 52c | 69.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 429 | 51.3%220 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Justina Mikulskyte | 44c | 65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Justina Mikulskyte | 60c | 64.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Justina Mikulskyte | 48c | 64.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Maria Golovina | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Justina Mikulskyte | 46c | 45.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Justina Mikulskyte | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Justina Mikulskyte | 61c | 33.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Justina Mikulskyte | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Maria Golovina | 56c | 23.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Maria Golovina | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.