Tennis · resolved market
ITF Palma Del Rio: Eva Vedder vs Han Shi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4d5f4f797efe0131460faf43b661bf4432072bf28bbac0506932d5a85daa4ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eva Vedderof Eva Vedder, Han Shi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Han Shi | 55c | 622.62$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.1 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Eva Vedder | 44c | 595.62$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.62 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Eva Vedder | 54c | 552.46$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.37 | 244 | 50.8%124 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Han Shi | 54c | 468.5$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.94 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Han Shi | 40c | 288.95$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.71 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Han Shi | 50c | 261$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.35 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Eva Vedder | 49c | 249$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bb…d137backed Eva Vedder | 68c | 218.52$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Eva Vedder | 46c | 198.02$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.73 | 197 | 40.6%80 W · 117 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Han Shi | 32c | 196.23$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Eva Vedder | 66c | 195.34$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.07 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Han Shi | 46c | 165$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Han Shi | 54c | 145.7$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Eva Vedder | 41c | 101.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Han Shi | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 891 | 34.3%306 W · 585 L | -40.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a39…693cbacked Eva Vedder | 51c | 96.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Han Shi | 51c | 87.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Han Shi | 49c | 74.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Han Shi | 40c | 72.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc27e…d4fbbacked Eva Vedder | 71c | 56.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59a9…41d1backed Eva Vedder | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 93 | 66.7%62 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Han Shi | 50c | 49.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Eva Vedder | 63c | 46.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Eva Vedder | 48c | 46.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Eva Vedder | 35c | 41.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Han Shi | 50c | 40.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Han Shi | 52c | 37.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Eva Vedder | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe2…697abacked Han Shi | 30c | 34.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Eva Vedder | 60c | 28.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Han Shi | 58c | 25.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eva Vedder | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Han Shi | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Han Shi | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eva Vedder | 47c | 22.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.