Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: MKF (-1.5) vs Barça eSports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4e978ebebbd2415c774f1e7ab987c13cbe846284fc8a6799d19b0ccd1a14ea6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Movistar KOI Fénixof Movistar KOI Fénix, Barça eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 34c | 321.35$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.46 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Barça eSports | 65c | 148.59$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.55 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Barça eSports | 66c | 147.25$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 36c | 104.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.18 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Barça eSports | 68c | 96.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Barça eSports | 66c | 88.24$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 32c | 47.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Barça eSports | 63c | 37.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Barça eSports | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7852…9ec7backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 32c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Barça eSports | 68c | 33.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 32c | 33.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: MKF (-1.5) vs Barça eSports (+1.5)this page
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonMovistar KOI Fénix won
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports - Game 1 WinnerMovistar KOI Fénix won
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports - Game 2 WinnerMovistar KOI Fénix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.