Lol · resolved market
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x800b2d983338d2076c46915ef09cdbbb8833cef3e93a93db26c5bcdb11fdcd1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Movistar KOI Fénixof Movistar KOI Fénix, Barça eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 54c | 1,472$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.97 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…71ebbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 50c | 1,003$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.73 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Barça eSports | 44c | 897.59$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.73 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Barça eSports | 25c | 713.55$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.13 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Barça eSports | 48c | 590.4$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.16 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Barça eSports | 52c | 440$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.9 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 45c | 384.81$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.67 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Barça eSports | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 57c | 297.23$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.81 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed Barça eSports | 7c | 285.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 551 | 10.3%57 W · 494 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Barça eSports | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked Barça eSports | 19c | 216.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 425 | 40.7%173 W · 252 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Barça eSports | 49c | 216.2$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.07 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 53c | 190.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.19 | 777 | 46.2%359 W · 418 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 75c | 164.27$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 53c | 158.55$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Barça eSports | 41c | 141.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Barça eSports | 41c | 126.46$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…6674backed Barça eSports | 55c | 108.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe865…ae26backed Barça eSports | 31c | 99.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 58c | 96.75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 525 | 43.8%230 W · 295 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0420…58bbbacked Barça eSports | 35c | 93.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…a64abacked Barça eSports | 17c | 91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Barça eSports | 40c | 70.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…5267backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 155 | 71%110 W · 45 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Barça eSports | 54c | 59.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 42c | 56.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Barça eSports | 37c | 45.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 53c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 46c | 39.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 535 | 45.2%242 W · 293 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 69c | 38.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…2b8fbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 56c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 428 | 51.2%219 W · 209 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ea…2675backed Barça eSports | 40c | 37.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 334 | 56%187 W · 147 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Barça eSports | 54c | 21.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: MKF (-1.5) vs Barça eSports (+1.5)Movistar KOI Fénix won
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonMovistar KOI Fénix won
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports - Game 2 WinnerMovistar KOI Fénix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.