Tennis · resolved market
Lyon: Robin Bertrand vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb520652df1604cb9be67eebd450cabd37d5abeee3c5995a87685ac0964448bcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdoof Robin Bertrand, Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Robin Bertrand | 14c | 4,180$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.49 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Robin Bertrand | 8c | 4,166$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.75 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Robin Bertrand | 21c | 3,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3709…bb80backed Robin Bertrand | 13c | 2,390$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Robin Bertrand | 15c | 1,633$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.83 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Robin Bertrand | 3c | 1,269$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Robin Bertrand | 4c | 1,143$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 77c | 929.71$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.83 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…8458backed Robin Bertrand | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Robin Bertrand | 14c | 630.75$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.57 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa11…650bbacked Robin Bertrand | 9c | 550$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 75 | 12%9 W · 66 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Robin Bertrand | 16c | 499.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Robin Bertrand | 17c | 499.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Robin Bertrand | 16c | 468.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Robin Bertrand | 4c | 451.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Robin Bertrand | 15c | 443.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Robin Bertrand | 9c | 313.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db0…5b69backed Robin Bertrand | 7c | 312.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…359fbacked Robin Bertrand | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Robin Bertrand | 6c | 264.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Robin Bertrand | 17c | 230.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Robin Bertrand | 8c | 197.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Robin Bertrand | 14c | 109.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Robin Bertrand | 20c | 101.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 33.5%72 W · 143 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Robin Bertrand | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Robin Bertrand | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed Robin Bertrand | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Robin Bertrand | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Robin Bertrand | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…82b5backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 80c | 52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 80c | 47.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 77c | 43.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 812 | 55.3%449 W · 363 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 80c | 35.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 79c | 13.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.81 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.