College Football · resolved market
Spread: Duke (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5452a41ad5e0f9936b7c2a73781fe6e13a3f8037c1eaaf9365db06cdcdf7f47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgia Techof Duke, Georgia Tech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5b0…8e17backed Georgia Tech | 43c | 37,432$16,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,336.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf29f…f878backed Duke | 57c | 1,574$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02be…8f1dbacked Duke | 57c | 1,174$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff9…c260backed Duke | 57c | 1,168$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…0316backed Duke | 57c | 1,104$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…30b2backed Duke | 57c | 1,050$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…68b5backed Duke | 57c | 1,015$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…d71bbacked Duke | 57c | 916$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…0538backed Duke | 57c | 861$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8809…702fbacked Duke | 57c | 845$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…5da9backed Duke | 57c | 821$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa78…698bbacked Duke | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e2…961ebacked Georgia Tech | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…907ebacked Duke | 57c | 746$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…2bfcbacked Duke | 57c | 721$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…7130backed Duke | 57c | 721$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea90…1b60backed Duke | 57c | 702$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9b…552dbacked Duke | 57c | 701$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63de…237bbacked Duke | 57c | 661$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x037f…1294backed Duke | 57c | 645$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf772…d53bbacked Duke | 57c | 643$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6b…fecabacked Duke | 57c | 629$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c68…ce12backed Duke | 57c | 612$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb1…d65dbacked Duke | 57c | 611$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…803ebacked Duke | 57c | 587$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f09…49cdbacked Duke | 57c | 584$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a9…97e6backed Duke | 57c | 571$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab79…580fbacked Duke | 57c | 568$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa082…1514backed Duke | 57c | 544$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bf…ab09backed Duke | 57c | 534$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff00…f3e7backed Duke | 57c | 528$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…7b6fbacked Duke | 57c | 511$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9b…ba0dbacked Duke | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cf…f905backed Duke | 57c | 494$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b88…0854backed Duke | 57c | 492$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd42…f082backed Duke | 57c | 486$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…280dbacked Duke | 57c | 479$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe805…6643backed Duke | 57c | 476$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649b…c5d1backed Duke | 57c | 451$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2531…3a30backed Duke | 57c | 443$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…e1d7backed Duke | 57c | 427$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…5cebbacked Duke | 57c | 427$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf815…98d1backed Duke | 57c | 405$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56b1…9121backed Duke | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8160…7963backed Georgia Tech | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4719…7067backed Duke | 57c | 397$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…88d9backed Duke | 57c | 393$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80d…266ebacked Duke | 57c | 389$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b7…4c53backed Duke | 57c | 384$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92af…7178backed Duke | 57c | 376$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…f2b1backed Duke | 57c | 355$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ac…07b2backed Duke | 57c | 347$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7949…79b9backed Duke | 57c | 338$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7f…b7d6backed Duke | 57c | 338$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f24…75fbbacked Duke | 57c | 327$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc59b…0bd6backed Duke | 57c | 323$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe251…7d6ebacked Duke | 57c | 302$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6975…2940backed Duke | 57c | 302$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…8167backed Duke | 57c | 298$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde90…bababacked Duke | 57c | 293$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…bdd9backed Duke | 57c | 292$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…5e9abacked Duke | 57c | 288$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f4…db7ebacked Duke | 57c | 259$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5a…c879backed Duke | 57c | 251$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2013…9427backed Duke | 57c | 242$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe122…deccbacked Duke | 57c | 229$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4b…1df5backed Duke | 57c | 205$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…c601backed Duke | 57c | 192$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb776…56dcbacked Duke | 57c | 186$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…629bbacked Duke | 57c | 182$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec64…7311backed Duke | 57c | 180$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8896…2b5abacked Duke | 57c | 178$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c9…d70ebacked Duke | 57c | 178$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…7c26backed Duke | 57c | 169$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…7389backed Duke | 57c | 163$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…c809backed Duke | 57c | 157$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426e…6202backed Duke | 57c | 149$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ba…2bbebacked Duke | 57c | 146$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Duke | 56c | 142$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f3…1ae9backed Duke | 57c | 142$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe532…2795backed Duke | 57c | 138$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x007e…0f77backed Duke | 57c | 136$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…d197backed Duke | 57c | 128$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d56…78e4backed Duke | 57c | 128$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9d…87d8backed Duke | 57c | 126$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf44b…f945backed Duke | 57c | 119$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Georgia Tech | 44c | 108$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Duke | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Georgia Tech | 46c | 94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b76…d461backed Duke | 57c | 94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef8e…0253backed Duke | 57c | 74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…8c92backed Georgia Tech | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…1c12backed Duke | 57c | 63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a7…2a5ebacked Duke | 57c | 56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d3…8743backed Georgia Tech | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Duke | 53c | 30.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked Duke | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Duke (-2.5)this page
- Georgia Tech vs. DukeGeorgia Tech won
- Georgia Tech vs. Duke: O/U 60.5Under won
- O/U 61.5Under won
- Spread: Duke (-1.5)Georgia Tech won
- Spread: Duke (-3.5)Georgia Tech won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.