College Football · resolved market
Georgia Tech vs. Duke: O/U 60.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a7afeeeba537d8558566f1b42f962d1f10b6416f438c99a1385b7de37350c55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Over | 51c | 29,394$15,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,106.54 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 50c | 10,220$5,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,141.4 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 49c | 8,500$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,375 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Over | 48c | 4,867$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.31 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 4,487$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 2,378$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.82 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 49c | 2,021$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.63 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 49c | 1,816$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.16 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Under | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Under | 49c | 1,092$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.84 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 33cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63af…0a25backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +14.8wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Under | 49c | 565$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.15 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d8…b853backed Over | 49c | 490$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f1…e715backed Under | 51c | 490$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 52c | 481$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Under | 48c | 225$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Over | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…5ba9backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 51c | 133$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Under | 49c | 125$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Under | 50c | 34.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Over | 50c | 23.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Georgia Tech vs. Duke: O/U 60.5this page
- Georgia Tech vs. DukeGeorgia Tech won
- O/U 61.5Under won
- Spread: Duke (-1.5)Georgia Tech won
- Spread: Duke (-2.5)Georgia Tech won
- Spread: Duke (-3.5)Georgia Tech won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.