TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Spread: Duke (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Georgia Techof Duke, Georgia Tech
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$272,236
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$279,078

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,236 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 368 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Duke24c18,256$4,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,434.2368440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b0…8e17backed Georgia Tech52c9,648$5,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,631.04650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Duke47c8,165$3,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,837.5852641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Duke47c7,520$3,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,534.414743.5%64 W · 83 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Georgia Tech53c6,849$3,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,219.066656.1%37 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Georgia Tech53c6,685$3,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,156.0537749.6%187 W · 190 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Georgia Tech54c4,630$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.6319362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Duke46c4,136$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.0685947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a4f…daa9backed Duke48c3,082$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Georgia Tech53c2,603$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.1927648.9%135 W · 141 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab3…9e47backed Duke48c2,387$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13b7…e7bbbacked Duke48c2,077$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c67…f54bbacked Duke48c2,059$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Duke1c1,934$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3463243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeabc…96c7backed Duke48c1,903$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea90…1b60backed Duke48c1,801$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe611…7130backed Duke48c1,697$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1040…3ebdbacked Duke48c1,628$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98c5…265bbacked Georgia Tech52c1,410$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7349…df54backed Georgia Tech52c1,409$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd64…a480backed Duke48c1,379$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc7e…3564backed Duke48c1,308$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Duke46c1,303$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.462,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec40…2b05backed Georgia Tech52c1,289$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f09…49cdbacked Duke48c1,285$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5076…d65dbacked Duke48c1,266$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedd5…e978backed Duke48c1,226$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd42…f082backed Duke48c1,218$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.6430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98f7…9ebbbacked Georgia Tech52c1,213$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff9…c260backed Georgia Tech52c1,210$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fab…a5a2backed Duke48c1,165$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaccd…0538backed Georgia Tech52c1,153$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3be…00a5backed Duke48c1,148$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23d8…e545backed Duke48c1,132$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33ab…a31ebacked Georgia Tech52c1,129$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec5f…5de6backed Duke48c1,122$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8b8…4c6ebacked Georgia Tech52c1,109$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab92…5958backed Georgia Tech52c1,090$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88fa…e801backed Duke48c1,075$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x63de…237bbacked Georgia Tech52c1,014$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57c8…bf17backed Duke48c992$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x369a…a7bcbacked Georgia Tech52c987$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce59…0296backed Georgia Tech52c982$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x725c…6e34backed Georgia Tech52c970$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb99f…08d4backed Georgia Tech52c946$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf93d…273cbacked Georgia Tech52c936$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9925…e33ebacked Duke50c879$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.54641.3%19 W · 27 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-23.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x77a7…c3b3backed Duke48c878$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5714…6a04backed Georgia Tech52c869$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa32e…63a0backed Georgia Tech52c838$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x108d…bb7dbacked Georgia Tech52c836$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e53…f81bbacked Duke48c760$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x254e…d3ddbacked Duke48c754$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06bb…4873backed Georgia Tech52c740$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2531…3a30backed Georgia Tech52c720$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd6b…fecabacked Georgia Tech52c716$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ab…509dbacked Duke48c712$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7949…79b9backed Duke48c705$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc410…e238backed Georgia Tech52c702$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02be…8f1dbacked Georgia Tech52c702$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.96475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+48.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72dc…4842backed Duke48c701$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf89…9363backed Georgia Tech52c680$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5676…f1dabacked Georgia Tech52c675$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f2b…c821backed Duke48c665$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ff…5273backed Duke48c661$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54a9…97e6backed Duke48c660$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d7b…dc83backed Georgia Tech52c648$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x358a…6e4abacked Duke48c645$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3381…c2d1backed Georgia Tech52c642$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b0b…a6e7backed Duke48c622$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb8d…0284backed Duke48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3f8…74c0backed Duke48c610$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa061…50acbacked Duke48c607$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaa3…4003backed Duke48c604$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…68b5backed Georgia Tech52c598$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.04475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+48.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5120…f527backed Duke48c596$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x037f…1294backed Georgia Tech52c594$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdce1…078abacked Duke48c593$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d5d…c081backed Duke48c588$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.2430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f7f…b7d6backed Georgia Tech52c588$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe583…d978backed Georgia Tech52c577$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…d09cbacked Duke48c575$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a6…2511backed Duke48c568$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb285…3bf9backed Duke48c565$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0a…0f15backed Georgia Tech52c564$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34aa…dcffbacked Duke48c559$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.3230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70e6…d40fbacked Duke48c556$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95c4…52b3backed Georgia Tech52c555$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a36…5203backed Duke48c554$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc67c…e1c1backed Georgia Tech52c542$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6cf…c9c3backed Georgia Tech52c537$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x892b…32d6backed Duke48c536$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c38…4253backed Duke48c535$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6cb…738bbacked Georgia Tech52c535$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ff4…c977backed Georgia Tech52c534$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.323100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb14…be7cbacked Georgia Tech52c533$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e7…71a5backed Georgia Tech52c526$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x677e…bb23backed Duke48c525$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfd…1c3fbacked Georgia Tech52c524$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb11…25f5backed Georgia Tech52c517$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.