CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Just Players - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb56c686d7c70316cac0aa3153258a77d10d1f619fd79d9036f50f230e3c59656
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Just Playersof Tricked, Just Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Just Players | 51c | 2,089$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.37 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c6…4036backed Tricked | 24c | 709.29$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tricked | 64c | 507.8$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.99 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked Just Players | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 263 | 41.1%108 W · 155 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked Tricked | 45c | 453$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.76 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Just Players | 43c | 406.59$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.28 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Tricked | 39c | 387.38$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.08 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | +12.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Tricked | 53c | 354$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.37 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Tricked | 62c | 228.53$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.46 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4038…35e4backed Tricked | 51c | 212$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Just Players | 39c | 208.44$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.06 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Tricked | 56c | 204.03$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.91 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Just Players | 49c | 152.91$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.31 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Tricked | 69c | 145.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Just Players | 36c | 137.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.71 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Tricked | 51c | 121.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccf…0c6ebacked Just Players | 29c | 109.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Tricked | 51c | 99.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Tricked | 75c | 98.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Just Players | 62c | 98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tricked | 35c | 66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Tricked | 48c | 44.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Tricked | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 414 | 50.7%210 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Tricked | 61c | 32.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f2…61d4backed Tricked | 33c | 30.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…0c0abacked Tricked | 63c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Tricked | 49c | 24.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 773 | 46.1%356 W · 417 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Just Players - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 PlayoffsJust Players won
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Just Players - Map 2 WinnerTricked won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.