CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Just Players - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b0825ef59e7360b61b610bcd68cc2fa02e26566e1507232610544c89da31d6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trickedof Tricked, Just Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Tricked | 55c | 2,100$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Just Players | 35c | 300$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Just Players | 33c | 262$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Just Players | 36c | 238$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.67 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Just Players | 31c | 235.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccf…0c6ebacked Just Players | 23c | 228.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Just Players | 33c | 222$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Just Players | 43c | 206.53$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.75 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Just Players | 30c | 195$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Tricked | 65c | 151$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Tricked | 63c | 148$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Just Players | 57c | 130.35$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…c4adbacked Just Players | 52c | 125$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Just Players | 13c | 124.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Just Players | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Just Players | 49c | 99.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Just Players | 43c | 96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0315…760cbacked Just Players | 13c | 94.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Tricked | 50c | 86.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Just Players | 29c | 85.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f25…4f11backed Tricked | 79c | 73.28$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Tricked | 56c | 71.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Just Players | 44c | 68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Just Players | 26c | 65.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Just Players | 36c | 60.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Just Players | 32c | 54.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Just Players | 35c | 54.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Just Players | 43c | 50.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Tricked | 57c | 48.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Just Players | 31c | 38.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 773 | 46.1%356 W · 417 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Just Players | 42c | 33.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Just Players | 41c | 31.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Tricked | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tricked | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Just Players - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 PlayoffsJust Players won
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Just Players - Map 1 WinnerJust Players won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.