CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Omega - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5dda88a5f9d3956d47135607a675655a2852af4b0814008a14c5512f69082db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Omegaof Rune Eaters, Omega
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Omega | 71c | 1,411$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.35 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Omega | 56c | 1,241$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.06 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rune Eaters | 26c | 1,173$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.88 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 1,060$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.35 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Rune Eaters | 47c | 639.69$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.25 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rune Eaters | 23c | 525.24$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Rune Eaters | 45c | 512.39$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.79 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Omega | 45c | 445.67$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.12 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 403.41$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.79 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Rune Eaters | 26c | 272.58$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.87 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 231.34$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.46 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Rune Eaters | 21c | 194.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Rune Eaters | 46c | 163.38$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…c22ebacked Rune Eaters | 9c | 157.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Rune Eaters | 32c | 156.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rune Eaters | 29c | 149.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Omega | 69c | 144.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Omega | 64c | 116.41$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Rune Eaters | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 849 | 37.8%321 W · 528 L | -20.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Omega | 71c | 101.47$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Omega | 64c | 97.86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 97.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Omega | 66c | 95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Rune Eaters | 15c | 91.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Omega | 46c | 90.49$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Omega | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Omega | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Omega | 77c | 62.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Omega | 72c | 62.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 52.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Omega | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -13.4wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Omega | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Omega | 66c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Rune Eaters | 31c | 48.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Omega | 68c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Omega | 69c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Omega | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Omega | 46c | 39.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 158 | 64.6%102 W · 56 L | +15.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 32.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Omega | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Omega | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 328 | 61.6%202 W · 126 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Omega - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group StageOmega won
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Omega - Map 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.