Tennis · resolved market
ITF Luan: Yaojie Zeng vs Tianhui Zhang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6040d0f523ef8a85008b09d474534d3a52d0a72b80571b0338a2d9aa5db31e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tianhui Zhangof Yaojie Zeng, Tianhui Zhang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yaojie Zeng | 35c | 353$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.34 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Tianhui Zhang | 65c | 306.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Tianhui Zhang | 57c | 296.76$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.76 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yaojie Zeng | 44c | 248.72$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.34 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Yaojie Zeng | 9c | 184.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Yaojie Zeng | 55c | 175$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tianhui Zhang | 45c | 175$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.25 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Yaojie Zeng | 57c | 173.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yaojie Zeng | 46c | 117.53$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tianhui Zhang | 47c | 100.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Tianhui Zhang | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Tianhui Zhang | 52c | 77.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Yaojie Zeng | 48c | 68.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Tianhui Zhang | 50c | 67.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yaojie Zeng | 34c | 64.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f6…6594backed Yaojie Zeng | 59c | 62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Tianhui Zhang | 48c | 51.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Yaojie Zeng | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Yaojie Zeng | 34c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c5…bf75backed Tianhui Zhang | 73c | 24.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Tianhui Zhang | 47c | 22.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Tianhui Zhang | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.